Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 13.225755 14.860280 16.633276 18.701793 21.051954 23.642660 26.719830
2025-03-30 10.662440 12.869883 15.455729 18.718936 22.741891 27.558036 33.788952
2025-04-06 8.706938 11.147529 14.194252 18.300178 23.724250 30.692974 40.402507
2025-04-13 7.345600 9.884631 13.230048 17.999733 24.688949 33.830187 47.429048
2025-04-20 6.574808 9.245837 12.938088 18.474855 26.671080 38.519964 57.243175
2025-04-27 5.993869 8.765637 12.764766 19.040396 28.796862 43.645289 68.451056
2025-05-04 5.443662 8.242942 12.438918 19.297517 30.443095 48.218279 79.470450
2025-05-11 4.848026 7.569215 11.787853 18.937738 31.025488 51.131652 88.157632
2025-05-18 4.361546 7.003625 11.228527 18.632957 31.620313 54.090420 97.316010
2025-05-25 3.954769 6.517659 10.735484 18.362156 32.208997 57.072332 106.925614
2025-06-01 3.628011 6.127272 10.353546 18.225407 32.995325 60.476650 117.826445
2025-06-08 3.356901 5.802160 10.044904 18.173756 33.913612 64.219153 129.957607
2025-06-15 3.203783 5.676510 10.087111 18.798931 36.253076 71.135964 150.083189
2025-06-22 2.984188 5.408683 9.844199 18.854531 37.485896 76.035790 166.818629
2025-06-29 2.729803 5.050560 9.395328 18.450626 37.725821 78.904876 179.522798
2025-07-06 2.517269 4.750278 9.024498 18.156130 38.147956 82.210229 193.834225
2025-07-13 2.412436 4.648394 9.029831 18.640025 40.319947 89.725820 219.858214
2025-07-20 2.324780 4.571396 9.075645 19.213200 42.767721 98.248277 250.155950
2025-07-27 2.213479 4.435138 8.984953 19.473906 44.526880 105.397165 278.281125
2025-08-03 2.055777 4.187716 8.636132 19.111064 44.750109 108.789281 296.735921
2025-08-10 1.917274 3.968511 8.326809 18.803499 45.066846 112.466556 316.772452
2025-08-17 1.793752 3.770706 8.045614 18.530126 45.432962 116.330219 338.185065
2025-08-24 1.690957 3.609409 7.830648 18.392075 46.129663 121.194421 363.730890